Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.5% | 11.5% | -11.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Burgess | 36 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Rodriguez | 35 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Gwynn | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Skeen | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Sanders | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| E. Nixon | 22 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Rozzell | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| D. Theus | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Saintil | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Daniels | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Pishchalnikov | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wells | 40 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| B. Louis | 35 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. White | 34 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P. Curtis | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| D. Bowles | 28 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| T. Flores | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Diouf | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter