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2010-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Furman Paladins Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 โœ— (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -9 (78-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Evans 36 3-6 0-1 0-2 5 8 1 0 3 6 11 -
J. Miller 35 10-18 4-7 7-10 4 1 1 0 1 31 18 -
J. Dehm 28 1-5 1-5 2-4 3 5 0 0 0 5 8 -
A. Saaka 25 7-11 2-4 3-4 7 0 1 1 1 19 16 -
N. States 20 1-3 1-2 3-4 3 1 1 2 1 6 9 -
N. Duval 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
B. Sebirumbi 14 0-1 0-0 5-8 3 0 0 1 2 5 6 -
C. Reddick 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 0 3 -
C. Toler 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
B. Barnes 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 5 3 -

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Patterson 35 4-10 2-6 2-4 4 2 3 0 1 12 10 -
R. Taylor 30 6-11 1-5 1-3 4 1 0 0 1 14 7 -
K. Bell 29 5-11 2-3 2-2 3 7 3 0 1 14 15 -
J. Saffore 20 2-6 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 3 6 4 -
D. Jefferson 20 5-7 0-0 5-7 5 0 0 0 2 15 11 -
C. Early 20 2-7 0-2 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Williams 17 2-3 0-1 1-2 3 3 2 0 1 5 9 -
J. Smith 13 1-4 1-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
D. Hampton 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Harvey 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
S. Watson 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter