Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears -14 (67-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Miller | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| K. Casey | 32 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 8-9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 25 | - |
| M. Kenyi | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Lin | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| B. Curry | 25 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| O. McNally | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| C. Webster | 23 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Giger | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Georgatos | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. de Mars | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Leffelman | 35 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Sullivan | 34 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Sullivan | 31 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 8-11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A. Williams | 30 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Mullery | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Halpern | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Taylor | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. McCarthy | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Gruber | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter