Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Phillips | 33 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 30 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Hill | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Thornton | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Rubin | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Lewis | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Clark | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Mishler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carter | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 29 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| C. Harriman | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Young | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Ashford | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Korver | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Witter | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Wragge | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Runnels | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Millard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter