Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gonzalez | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | - |
| S. Wood | 34 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Horner | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Howell | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| F. Degand | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Mays | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Painter | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drew II | 34 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| W. Graves | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Henson | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Strickland | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Wear | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. McDonald | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter