Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright | 41 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| C. Johnson | 36 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Williams | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Johnson | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Lowery | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| L. Warren | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Searcy | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Benson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Perry | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 45 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 9-12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| K. Cassity | 43 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| C. Salecich | 40 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Ellis | 37 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Conklin | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Reed | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Jordan | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. Remekun | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter