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2010-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 9.5% 90.5% +12.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 1.6% 98.4% -
Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Weeden 32 2-7 0-0 1-2 13 0 3 1 3 5 12 -
D. Rufful 28 6-13 0-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 2 15 5 -
J. Trotter 27 1-7 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
R. Pride 27 4-8 2-3 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 11 10 -
R. Dixon 25 6-10 1-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 15 11 -
M. Ghogomu 19 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 -3 -
M. LaBove 17 1-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Riddle 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 -
R.J. Griffin 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Crecco 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sands 24 7-11 0-0 6-8 8 0 0 0 1 20 16 -
P. Nelson 23 1-4 0-0 3-5 9 0 0 2 1 5 11 -
A. Morgan 23 1-7 0-5 4-4 4 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Zampier 23 4-9 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 11 4 -
P. Braswell 23 2-3 1-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 6 9 -
G. Mangano 19 4-10 1-3 3-4 6 0 0 2 0 12 10 -
R. Willhite 17 0-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Mantilla 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 5 5 -
M. Grace 16 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 3 1 0 2 0 2 -
R. Anderson 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Katz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter