Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 31 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 10 | - |
| N. Larson | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| G. Rogers | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Jones | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Lepley | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| R. Wallace | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Dunn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Flores | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Session | 35 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| D. Lillard | 32 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 19 | - |
| N. Hansen | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Hughey | 23 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Panos | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Bullinger | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Mahoney | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Morris | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Noble | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Washington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter