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2010-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 8.0% 92.0% -
Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Log Adjusted 2.3% 97.7% -

Actual: Brown Bears +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Weeden 29 4-10 0-0 1-3 9 1 1 0 2 9 8 -
R. Pride 28 3-8 0-2 0-0 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 -
R. Dixon 27 3-12 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 8 0 -
J. Trotter 25 3-7 0-3 2-5 2 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
M. Ghogomu 23 3-6 0-1 0-2 5 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
D. Rufful 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
M. LaBove 19 4-8 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 0 2 12 9 -
J. Riddle 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 6 -
R.J. Griffin 11 1-1 0-0 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
H. Kouna 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Crecco 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mullery 35 4-8 0-1 9-10 10 1 2 2 5 17 19 -
M. Sullivan 35 1-8 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 -1 -
G. Leffelman 27 4-7 4-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 14 10 -
P. Sullivan 27 4-5 1-2 14-16 11 0 0 0 1 23 28 -
T. Halpern 22 1-5 1-4 7-8 4 3 1 1 0 10 14 -
A. Williams 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. McCarthy 14 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 3 3 -
C. Taylor 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
S. Gruber 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter