Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Weeden | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Pride | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Dixon | 27 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Trotter | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Ghogomu | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Rufful | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. LaBove | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Riddle | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R.J. Griffin | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| H. Kouna | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Crecco | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mullery | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | - |
| M. Sullivan | 35 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| G. Leffelman | 27 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| P. Sullivan | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 14-16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | - |
| T. Halpern | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Williams | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. McCarthy | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Taylor | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Gruber | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter