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2010-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.9% 38.1% -
Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.3% 23.7% -
Log Adjusted 76.4% 23.6% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -3 (79-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Casey 41 5-16 3-6 7-8 7 2 0 0 1 20 12 -
B. Curry 37 5-5 2-2 3-3 5 4 0 0 4 15 15 -
D. Miller 34 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 3 0 6 7 -
J. Lin 32 7-9 1-3 3-7 3 4 2 0 3 18 15 -
C. Webster 29 4-10 3-8 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
O. McNally 25 1-6 0-2 3-4 1 5 1 0 0 5 6 -
M. Kenyi 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Georgatos 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Giger 2 1-3 1-2 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
S. de Mars 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 38 8-22 2-11 14-15 2 3 3 0 3 32 15 -
P. Braswell 35 1-3 0-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
M. Sands 34 3-7 0-1 4-6 5 1 0 0 1 10 8 -
G. Mangano 33 7-12 3-3 2-4 8 0 0 5 0 19 20 -
J. Gibson 28 5-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 1 10 13 -
R. Willhite 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 2 7 -
P. Nelson 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Davis 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
M. Grace 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
A. Morgan 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 3 -
R. Mantilla 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter