Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ford | 34 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - |
| S. Willard | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Young | 31 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L. Neufville | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Eveland | 14 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| N. Williams | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Huddleston | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Calegari | 35 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 33 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Harden | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Welch | 27 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| R. Howley | 26 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Floyd | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Malik | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter