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2010-02-11

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (21.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +31 (70-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ellison 0 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 0 -1 -
N. Gartrell 0 2-11 0-0 5-6 2 1 1 0 4 9 -2 -
A. White 0 1-4 0-0 2-2 1 3 4 0 4 4 4 -
B. Holston 0 1-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 2 -5 -
M. Kastanek 0 5-11 2-5 2-2 5 1 2 0 7 14 4 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Vernerey 0 9-13 0-0 2-4 10 2 0 2 4 20 17 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 0 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Cheek 0 3-5 0-1 1-1 10 0 3 2 5 7 12 -
J. Thomas 0 2-9 1-3 0-0 2 4 2 1 3 5 2 -
K. Jackson 0 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 4 2 1 3 4 5 -

* = starter