Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 37 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| P. McDonald | 37 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Gary | 36 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Hobson | 23 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| W. Brown | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| N. Garth | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Fenton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Dennis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Willis | 38 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 36 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| C. Stanback | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Wallace | 26 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Shaw | 17 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Marshall | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Massamba | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Santee | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter