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2010-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - โœ—
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 โœ— (25.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -24 (54-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davis 33 10-17 7-13 3-3 7 2 0 0 1 30 21 -
T. Montgomery 33 3-4 1-2 3-3 5 3 1 0 4 10 11 -
J. Merritt 29 4-5 3-3 2-2 6 2 1 0 3 13 14 -
M. Friday 27 2-2 1-1 1-2 5 5 1 1 3 6 13 -
K. Johnson 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
G. Bermudez 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 2 5 -
B. Friday 15 2-2 1-1 2-4 2 2 0 1 4 7 6 -
A. King 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
J. Peterson 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Bedwell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Carroll 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bell 33 3-11 3-10 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 11 5 -
T. Patterson 32 6-14 3-9 0-1 4 2 3 0 0 15 10 -
R. Taylor 24 3-12 2-8 2-2 1 3 2 0 1 10 3 -
D. Jefferson 23 0-6 0-0 0-2 7 0 2 0 3 0 0 -
J. Smith 17 2-2 2-2 2-4 0 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
C. Early 16 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
J. Williams 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Watson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Saffore 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Hampton 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Harvey 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 -
T. Cage 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter