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Duke Blue Devils 64
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 54
2010-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 82.8% 17.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 74.5% 25.5% - ✓
Margin 85.8% 14.2% -9.9 ✓ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.0% 7.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 70.5% 29.5% - ✓

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -10 (54-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 40 7-18 4-5 1-2 9 2 2 0 0 19 14 -
J. Scheyer 40 7-20 5-9 5-8 5 4 2 1 1 24 15 -
N. Smith 39 4-14 0-3 2-4 6 1 1 0 1 10 3 -
M. Plumlee 27 3-4 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 1 2 7 13 -
L. Thomas 20 0-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 2 3 -
M. Plumlee 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 2 3 -
B. Zoubek 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 0 6 -
A. Dawkins 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Kelly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II 33 4-15 1-8 2-3 4 4 0 0 2 11 2 -
M. Ginyard 33 3-10 1-5 0-1 8 0 1 0 2 7 4 -
W. Graves 28 5-9 3-5 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 13 12 -
E. Davis 28 2-4 0-0 0-3 5 1 0 6 3 4 9 -
D. Thompson 28 3-7 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 1 2 10 7 -
J. Henson 20 2-8 0-1 2-3 7 0 0 4 0 6 9 -
D. Strickland 18 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 3 2 -
D. Wear 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
L. McDonald 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter