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2010-02-10

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 (29.8 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% -
Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +35 (87-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 35 6-18 0-2 3-5 13 0 1 0 2 15 9 -
D. Populist 23 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Warren 22 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 8 7 -
Z. Kinsley 22 5-6 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 13 11 -
B. Spencer 18 1-6 1-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 4 4 -4 -
G. Green 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 2 4 -
C. Bass 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 5 3 -
C. Beattie 15 1-3 1-3 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
E. Ludwig 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Dotson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 -
D. Harris 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Washington 25 2-8 0-0 4-8 8 0 0 3 1 8 10 -
C. Fortson 25 5-13 1-5 6-6 6 5 2 0 2 17 15 -
R. Clarke 25 6-9 2-5 2-2 1 0 4 0 1 16 11 -
M. Powell 24 3-7 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 2 1 9 8 -
S. Welsh 18 2-5 1-3 1-2 0 2 3 0 1 6 5 -
J. Farmer 18 3-6 3-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
J. Nobles 16 2-3 1-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 6 9 -
G. Bryant 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 9 0 0 2 0 6 12 -
D. Johnson 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Britt 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 4 7 -
S. Cox 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
N. Mason 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter