Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (29.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +35 (87-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 35 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Populist | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Warren | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 22 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| B. Spencer | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| G. Green | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Bass | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Beattie | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Ludwig | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Dotson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Harris | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Washington | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Fortson | 25 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| R. Clarke | 25 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Powell | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Welsh | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Farmer | 18 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Nobles | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| G. Bryant | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| D. Johnson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Britt | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Cox | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Mason | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter