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2010-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Log Adjusted 61.9% 38.1% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +19 (82-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McPhee 34 2-11 2-9 2-2 3 1 1 0 5 8 -3 -
T. Leslie 30 6-15 0-1 7-11 17 1 1 0 3 19 20 -
D. Ware 30 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 10 6 -
A. Jackson 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
E. Anyaorah 19 0-2 0-0 6-6 4 0 1 1 0 6 10 -
J. Price 18 2-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 1 1 7 9 -
T. Thompkins 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 6 1 -
V. Williams 13 1-6 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 -2 -
C. Barnes 11 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Zlovaric 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Mayfield 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Whatley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hargrove 35 8-14 3-6 5-10 11 3 1 0 2 24 23 -
T. Waller 31 5-12 1-7 5-5 4 2 3 0 1 16 12 -
F. Sullivan 31 3-10 3-6 2-2 2 0 3 1 2 11 5 -
D. Reed 26 4-9 1-4 3-3 2 3 0 0 2 12 6 -
B. Knox 22 3-5 0-0 3-6 3 0 0 1 3 9 5 -
J. Wallace 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Lett 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
A. Malone 10 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
E. Ross 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Williams 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Armstrong 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Chubb 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Neysmith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Drum 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter