Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +1 (83-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Buttell | 40 | 9-13 | 3-7 | 4-9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| R. Kreps | 39 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| S. Stewart | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Z. Neely | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K.C. Robbins | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Gray | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Kelley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Singh | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wood | 34 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| B. McPherson | 28 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Johnson | 27 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Broekhoff | 24 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| T. Kurth | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Kenney | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| H. Little | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Rogers | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Witt | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter