Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -4 (47-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 39 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Nigon | 32 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Ogide | 32 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Smith | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Franklin | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| P. Hornung | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Busch | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. McFarland | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Perry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Dunn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Annese | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 35 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| G. Parker | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Lyons | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Merriex | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. McLain | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| T. Fow | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter