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2010-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.3% 69.7% -
Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -7 (56-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 39 11-17 3-4 2-4 2 7 0 0 5 27 14 -
M. Tisdale 37 8-11 0-1 3-3 3 0 1 1 1 19 12 -
B. Cole 30 1-3 0-1 2-4 8 0 1 0 1 4 9 -
D.J. Richardson 29 3-6 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 1 2 9 7 -
M. Davis 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 0 5 -
T. Griffey 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Jordan 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
B. Paul 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Keller 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Nankivil 39 4-14 1-6 0-1 6 0 0 1 0 9 2 -
J. Bohannon 39 6-10 3-6 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 15 14 -
T. Hughes 38 4-16 3-8 1-1 2 2 1 1 2 12 0 -
J. Taylor 35 3-9 2-4 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 8 6 -
T. Jarmusz 31 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
R. Wilson 13 2-4 1-2 2-5 4 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
R. Evans 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Berggren 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter