Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -12 (64-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| E. Moore | 35 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| R. Hummel | 34 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| K. Barlow | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Grant | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Kramer | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Hart | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Jackson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Bade | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Coleman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Allen | 34 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Lucas | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Lucious | 28 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Green | 24 | 1-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Roe | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Summers | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Thornton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Nix | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter