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2010-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 60.0% 40.0% -
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% -
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% -
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 35 4-12 3-6 2-2 7 2 0 1 0 13 11 -
J. Green 35 5-12 0-0 1-2 6 0 2 0 4 11 3 -
M. Torrance 32 2-11 0-2 4-4 6 3 0 0 1 8 5 -
C. Hines 27 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 4 7 -
S. Hillman 27 4-9 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 3 10 2 -
A. Brock 25 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 7 0 -
J. Knox 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Davis 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wall 37 7-13 1-3 7-9 10 2 3 1 6 22 19 -
P. Patterson 33 4-10 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 9 5 -
D. Cousins 31 6-8 0-0 4-8 13 2 1 1 2 16 23 -
E. Bledsoe 29 2-6 0-3 4-5 1 4 1 0 3 8 5 -
D. Liggins 26 2-4 1-3 3-6 7 1 1 1 2 8 12 -
D. Orton 16 1-1 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 1 1 3 5 -
D. Dodson 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Miller 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
R. Harris 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter