Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bradley Braves -1 (61-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Odiakosa | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| L. Phillips | 31 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 31 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| A. Rubin | 30 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Hill | 23 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Lewis | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Thornton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Clark | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Maniscalco | 37 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| T. Brown | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Warren | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Roberts | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| W. Egolf | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Simms-Edwards | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Singh | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Eastman | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter