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2010-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (23.3 off)
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -21 (63-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 30 1-6 0-3 2-2 5 5 0 0 4 4 4 -
G. McLemore 29 8-12 7-10 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 25 16 -
S. McNally 26 4-11 0-0 6-10 8 1 0 1 2 14 11 -
J. Bernal 24 5-8 0-0 1-2 8 5 1 1 1 11 17 -
M. Burnatowski 18 5-7 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 0 3 11 9 -
A. Rogers 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -1 -
T. Barnies 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 4 -1 -
M. Allison 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Peay 13 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 0 0 5 10 -
J. Boswell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Wilcher 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. McAllian 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Chetinov 4 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. De La Rosa 35 4-10 2-5 0-0 2 9 1 0 3 10 9 -
M. Spadafora 33 7-10 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 14 5 -
C. Gilliam 28 1-7 0-3 8-9 5 2 2 0 1 10 11 -
R. Jackson 25 3-6 0-0 3-5 5 0 2 4 2 9 12 -
S. Grant 24 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 5 1 -
B. Neller 16 2-7 2-6 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
N. Groce 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Wasco 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 4 5 -
A. Satchell 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter