Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | +20.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +20 (92-72). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kasamba | 31 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 3 | - |
| C. Montgomery | 27 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| C. Wall | 26 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Montgomery | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Smith | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| H. Martin | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Scott | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Lofton | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Roberts | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Kielbasa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Seals | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Simon | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Kennedy | 24 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| X. Keeling | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Foster | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Eatmon | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Lee | 18 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| W. Payne | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| E. Stephens | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Blue | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Holman | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Hoskins | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Fee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter