Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +28 (79-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lucas | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -3 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| W. Rolle | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Cheek | 0 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Jackson | 0 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Vernerey | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
* = starter