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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 63
@
Northern Colorado Bears 70
2010-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% - ✓
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 ✓ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 18.8% 81.2% - ✓
Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 44 5-13 0-2 7-9 9 3 1 0 3 17 14 -
N. Larson 34 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 4 -1 -
D. Jones 30 7-17 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 16 2 -
S. Johannsen 29 5-8 0-0 3-8 9 0 1 1 2 13 14 -
J. Olubuyi 27 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 6 4 4 -
G. Rogers 21 0-7 0-5 0-1 2 0 1 0 2 0 -6 -
J. Lepley 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 0 2 3 7 -
R. Wallace 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
S. Saldivar 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Proctor 39 5-9 0-0 4-8 11 1 1 4 2 14 20 -
D. Beitzel 38 8-17 6-11 2-2 7 0 2 0 2 24 14 -
Y. Bonner 37 1-4 0-2 2-3 2 2 3 0 1 4 6 -
N. Kingman 36 2-7 1-3 0-2 4 0 1 0 4 5 -1 -
W. Figures 33 5-7 0-1 11-12 9 3 3 0 4 21 25 -
E. Lloyd 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 3 0 -2 -
C. Kaba 13 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
H. Brereton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Osborne 6 0-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter