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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% -
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.6 (6.6 off)
Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nunnally 32 6-12 4-4 8-11 6 4 0 0 3 24 19 -
O. Johnson 32 5-8 1-2 4-5 2 3 1 3 1 15 15 -
W. Brew 26 5-7 1-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 11 9 -
J. Weiner 23 4-6 3-5 0-1 0 3 2 0 0 11 10 -
J. Serna 16 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 8 4 -
J. Powell 16 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
G. Somogyi 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Joyner 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 8 1 0 2 0 8 -
J. Pastorek 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
L. Devenny 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
S. Phippen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harden 36 7-13 0-0 5-7 12 7 1 2 2 19 26 -
M. Payne 35 5-10 1-2 7-10 4 6 3 1 3 18 19 -
D. Calegari 34 7-14 3-8 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 20 10 -
T. Lowenthal 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
R. Howley 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 4 6 -
A. Malik 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 5 3 -
J. Floyd 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
J. Welch 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Sypkens 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
J. Ranger 4 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter