Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +20 (62-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Porter | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Armstead | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| E.J. Singler | 31 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 27 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Jacob | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Wilson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Sim | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Williams | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Crittle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Wiley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Haynes | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| O. Johnson | 32 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| S. Tarver | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Cunningham | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. McShane | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Schaftenaar | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Tarver | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Burton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Brandt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Wallace | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Hampton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Deane | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Richard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Sturner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter