Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +21 (92-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Davis | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 30 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| D. Thompson | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| L. Drew II | 26 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Graves | 23 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Strickland | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Henson | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Wear | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. McDonald | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Wear | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Vasquez | 35 | 10-23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 17 | - |
| E. Hayes | 32 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| L. Milbourne | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Williams | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Mosley | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Bowie | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Gregory | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Tucker | 11 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Padgett | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Pearman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Levent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter