Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Jones III | 36 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 12-13 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 24 | - |
| J. Rivers | 33 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Watford | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Hulls | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Elston | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dumes | 13 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| D. Moore | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Capobianco | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Gambles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bawa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Barnett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Finkelmeier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shurna | 39 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| M. Thompson | 37 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Crawford | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Nash | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Capocci | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Rowley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Nichols | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hearn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Curletti | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter