Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 35 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 6-10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| R. Wedel | 35 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Templeton | 33 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| F. Wiseler | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| R. Uhlenhopp | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Hawley | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. VanDeest | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Simons | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Phillips | 36 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 32 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Rubin | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Lewis | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Hill | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| K. Thornton | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Mishler | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Clark | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter