Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +25 (90-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloway | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| J. Crawford | 32 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| D. Jackson | 32 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Love | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. McLean | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Lyons | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A. Taylor | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Frease | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Redford | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright | 31 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| P. Williams | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 22 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| R. Lowery | 21 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| M. Johnson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Searcy | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. Warren | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Perry | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Benson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Hendrick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Fox | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter