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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 57.3% 42.7% -2.9 โœ“ (11.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 โœ“ (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“

Actual: Air Force Falcons -14 (51-65). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ronnie Moss * 35 7-8 2-2 2-2 2 8 0 1 3 18 18 -
Nikola Cerina * 31 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 6 7 -
Kevin Butler * 30 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 6 9 -
Edvinas Ruzgas * 26 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
Xavier Roberson * 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Greg Hill 29 8-12 7-10 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 23 16 -
Zvonko Buljan 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
Garlon Green 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
Keion Mitchem 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Washington * 35 6-9 1-1 3-6 5 2 0 0 3 16 11 -
Michael Lyons * 30 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 4 3 0 2 2 2 -
Grant Parker * 27 5-9 0-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 3 11 5 -
Todd Fletcher * 22 3-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Mike McLain * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Tom Fow 22 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 9 -
Avery Merriex 16 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Taylor Broekhuis 15 0-2 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Mike Fitzgerald 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Shawn Hempsey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Derek Brooks 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Saj El-Amin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter