Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.2% | 11.8% | -11.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -14 (51-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Moss | 35 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| N. Cerina | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Butler | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| G. Hill | 29 | 8-12 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| E. Ruzgas | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Z. Buljan | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Green | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| X. Roberson | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Mitchem | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 35 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Lyons | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Parker | 27 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Fow | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. McLain | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Merriex | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Brooks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter