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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 81.7% 18.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 72.1% 27.9% -
Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% -
Log Adjusted 84.3% 15.7% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -20 (63-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Warren 33 7-10 2-3 6-6 7 2 1 0 0 22 22 -
S. Maniscalco 30 5-7 2-3 3-5 3 0 3 0 2 15 12 -
C. Roberts 29 4-7 0-2 3-3 5 4 2 1 3 11 13 -
T. Brown 22 8-11 1-3 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 21 13 -
D. Simms-Edwards 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 2 -1 -
J. Eastman 19 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
A. Thompson 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 3 1 2 1 -
W. Egolf 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 5 -
S. Singh 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 2 5 -
M. Knezevic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Woods 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Phillips 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ryan 35 5-17 2-9 5-7 3 2 1 0 1 17 5 -
C. Hopf 27 3-5 0-0 4-6 5 2 0 0 0 10 12 -
J. Haarsma 24 6-9 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 13 6 -
D. Holmes 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 4 4 -1 -
K. Lacey 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 0 1 -
T. Taylor 19 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 4 1 0 3 4 4 -
N. Cox 15 3-5 2-4 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 9 4 -
M. Hudson 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
L. Jones 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
P. van Tongeren 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Gregory 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter