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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 โœ— (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—

Actual: Columbia Lions -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 33 4-13 2-4 8-8 1 2 0 0 1 18 7 -
P. Braswell 26 1-1 1-1 2-4 2 2 2 0 3 5 7 -
J. Gibson 24 3-6 0-0 3-3 3 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
P. Nelson 24 3-4 0-0 7-7 8 1 0 1 0 13 19 -
J. Davis 19 1-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
G. Mangano 18 4-8 0-2 4-6 10 1 0 1 0 12 16 -
M. Sands 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
R. Willhite 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
M. Grace 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
A. Morgan 7 0-2 0-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
R. Mantilla 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Katz 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Anderson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Martin 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Agho 38 7-18 1-7 15-18 0 1 0 0 0 30 13 -
N. Scott 29 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
A. Ampim 27 1-6 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 2 1 5 7 -
B. Grimes 27 3-8 0-0 3-5 5 1 0 2 0 9 9 -
B. Barbour 20 2-3 0-1 2-3 0 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
K. Bulger 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Johnson 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Craig 9 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Crimmins 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Cisco 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Staab 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Egee 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Crockett 2 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter