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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Weber State Wildcats Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 68.2% 31.8% -6.2 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.9% 22.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“

Actual: Montana State Bobcats -4 (71-75). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Weber State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard 37 7-16 2-6 9-10 8 3 2 0 3 25 19 -
N. Hansen 36 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 6 5 -
F. Session 32 6-9 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 1 3 14 7 -
K. Bullinger 26 4-11 1-5 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 10 2 -
T. Morris 25 3-4 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 0 0 11 11 -
S. Panos 20 4-6 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 3 9 5 -
L. Hughey 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Mahoney 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Noble 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Howard 35 8-15 3-8 6-7 9 1 0 0 2 25 18 -
M. Navarre 33 6-11 2-4 2-5 3 3 1 0 4 16 8 -
B. Johnson 33 3-10 1-4 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 8 3 -
E. Rush 27 5-6 1-1 2-4 4 3 0 0 0 13 14 -
D. Piepoli 27 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
Will Bynum 25 0-6 0-1 1-2 6 0 1 0 5 1 -3 -
Austin Brown 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 1 2 -
C. Henderson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Anderson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter