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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (24.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.1% 40.9% -
Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Log Adjusted 81.9% 18.1% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -18 (44-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 37 7-11 4-7 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 18 15 -
T. Hughes 36 4-6 3-4 3-7 4 2 0 0 1 14 13 -
J. Taylor 35 4-6 2-4 3-4 6 4 1 0 2 13 16 -
K. Nankivil 25 4-8 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
T. Jarmusz 23 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
R. Wilson 20 2-3 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
R. Evans 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
M. Bruesewitz 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Berggren 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.P. Gavinski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Valentyn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Douglass 37 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Harris 36 4-11 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 11 4 -
Z. Novak 35 0-2 0-2 3-6 2 1 2 0 0 3 6 -
D. Morris 33 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 8 7 -
D. Sims 33 8-15 1-3 1-4 4 1 0 0 2 18 6 -
Z. Gibson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Lucas-Perry 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
A. Wright 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Bartelstein 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Vogrich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Person 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter