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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 94.5% 5.5% -
Bradley-Terry 85.5% 14.5% -
Margin 91.0% 9.0% -12.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 67.2% 32.8% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% -
Log Adjusted 94.7% 5.3% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 40 6-11 3-7 6-6 4 4 3 0 2 21 19 -
N. Smith 40 9-15 1-5 2-3 4 4 0 0 3 21 11 -
K. Singler 39 4-14 1-5 3-6 3 0 0 3 1 12 3 -
B. Zoubek 24 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 2 0 3 12 -
L. Thomas 22 3-4 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
M. Plumlee 20 0-2 0-0 1-4 6 0 1 0 2 1 4 -
R. Kelly 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
M. Plumlee 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Dawkins 0 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Trapani 35 5-14 0-4 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 12 2 -
R. Sanders 34 6-12 1-3 0-0 0 2 3 1 1 13 6 -
R. Jackson 27 4-10 1-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 11 5 -
C. Raji 25 5-9 0-0 5-6 8 1 0 0 1 15 14 -
B. Paris 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 6 6 -
T. Roche 17 1-4 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
C. Dunn 16 0-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Elmore 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Southern 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter