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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% -
Bradley-Terry 70.6% 29.4% -
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 83.9% 16.1% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -26 (55-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 31 6-13 1-4 3-4 5 0 0 2 2 16 8 -
J. Wall 30 2-9 0-3 2-2 4 7 0 0 2 6 6 -
E. Bledsoe 25 5-11 0-2 0-0 5 1 4 0 3 10 6 -
D. Cousins 20 6-13 0-0 7-10 14 2 0 1 3 19 20 -
D. Liggins 18 2-2 2-2 1-2 8 1 1 0 2 7 13 -
D. Miller 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 1 0 0 7 -
R. Harris 16 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
D. Orton 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 2 5 8 -
D. Dodson 12 3-6 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 2 1 8 5 -
P. Stevenson 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Harrellson 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Hood 3 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Krebs 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Spencer 38 9-24 2-12 5-5 0 2 2 0 7 25 -2 -
T. Mitchell 38 4-15 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 10 -1 -
C. Bass 31 2-6 0-1 1-2 7 4 1 0 0 5 11 -
A. Dotson 20 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
S. Warren 18 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 2 7 4 -
G. Green 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 3 7 -
D. Harris 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
E. Ludwig 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Populist 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Z. Kinsley 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Beattie 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter