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2010-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Log Adjusted 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Florida Gators +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 38 4-11 4-8 0-0 4 3 3 0 2 12 9 -
D. Bost 35 2-6 1-4 0-0 0 9 1 1 2 5 8 -
R. Johnson 35 8-11 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 20 15 -
J. Varnado 32 6-16 0-0 4-8 13 0 1 1 5 16 10 -
P. Turner 28 2-6 0-2 1-1 4 2 2 0 1 5 6 -
K. Augustus 15 1-7 1-4 1-2 3 1 0 1 3 4 -1 -
R. Osby 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Benock 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Reik 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Sidney 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Walker 33 2-14 1-8 1-2 6 4 2 0 5 6 -1 -
C. Parsons 33 5-8 2-3 6-9 12 6 2 0 2 18 28 -
A. Tyus 32 3-12 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
K. Boynton 30 2-9 0-5 2-2 0 2 4 0 4 6 -1 -
V. Macklin 27 10-14 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 2 20 12 -
D. Werner 26 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
R. Shipman 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
E. Murphy 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter