Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 43 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| T. Waller | 41 | 7-19 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 36 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 34 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Knox | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Lett | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Malone | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Ross | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Wallace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Neysmith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke | 42 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| C. Fortson | 40 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| M. Powell | 34 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| M. Britt | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Washington | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Welsh | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Cox | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Johnson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Nobles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Farmer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Bryant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter