Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.0% | 25.0% | -6.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Evans | 37 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Brown | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| V. Duggins | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| T. Tabler | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Cooperwood | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| R. Thomas | 20 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Land | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Grote | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Darkwa | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Cartharn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wood | 31 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Johnson | 29 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| H. Little | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| B. McPherson | 27 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. Broekhoff | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| T. Kurth | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Rogers | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kenney | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Witt | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter