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2010-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 83.7% 16.3% -
Bradley-Terry 5.8% 94.2% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% -
Log Adjusted 12.7% 87.3% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Wise 28 4-17 2-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 12 -7 -
K. Parrom 26 1-7 0-1 3-4 6 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
K. Fogg 26 3-9 1-3 6-10 3 1 3 1 3 13 9 -
S. Hill 25 4-6 0-0 4-6 7 3 1 0 2 12 15 -
L. Jones 22 7-10 0-0 0-1 0 2 1 0 1 14 6 -
J. Horne 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 2 0 -
K. Natyazhko 16 0-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 0 1 5 -
B. Lavender 15 4-4 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 11 6 -
A. Jacobson 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 2 7 -
D. Williams 8 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
D.J. Shumpert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pondexter 36 10-17 0-2 10-15 12 3 0 1 3 30 26 -
J. Holiday 32 2-6 0-0 1-1 4 4 0 2 1 5 8 -
I. Thomas 28 3-10 0-4 1-4 6 1 0 0 4 7 0 -
S. Suggs 25 3-9 3-7 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 13 7 -
V. Overton 22 1-5 1-2 9-10 3 0 1 0 4 12 7 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 17 1-4 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 4 2 3 4 -
A. Gaddy 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 2 2 -
T. Breshers 12 3-6 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 2 0 9 11 -
E. Turner Jr. 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Gant 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter