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2010-02-04

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 78.6% 21.4% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bursey 0 4-6 1-1 1-1 5 0 0 1 2 10 8 -
M. Wood 0 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 2-8 1-3 1-3 5 1 1 0 4 6 1 -
W. Rolle 0 7-16 0-0 6-8 13 0 1 3 1 20 20 -
K. Gross 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Barnes 0 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
C. Clark 0 2-9 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Stroman 0 1-1 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 1 5 6 5 -
S. Johnson 0 7-12 2-5 9-11 10 6 8 0 1 25 36 -
R. Williams 0 7-21 3-12 2-3 6 1 2 0 0 19 7 -

* = starter