Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +27 (76-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 34 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -9 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Stohl | 30 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 29 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Knutson | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Sikma | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Ito | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Waterford | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouldin | 34 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| D. Goodson | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| E. Harris | 26 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Gray | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Sacre | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Arop | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| G. Gibbs | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Olynyk | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Kong | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Foster | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| G.J. Vilarino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hart | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Pontarolo-Maag | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter