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2010-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% -
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Tyus 36 8-10 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 1 1 19 16 -
E. Walker 36 7-14 2-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 4 16 7 -
K. Boynton 34 6-13 3-8 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 15 10 -
C. Parsons 34 2-5 2-3 2-3 5 1 0 1 0 8 10 -
D. Werner 26 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 0 0 -
V. Macklin 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
E. Murphy 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Shipman 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Torrance 35 7-15 5-11 3-4 0 5 0 0 1 22 11 -
J. Green 34 6-11 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 3 3 14 10 -
T. Mitchell 31 4-8 2-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
J. Knox 25 2-3 0-0 4-4 1 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
A. Brock 23 2-5 1-4 3-4 2 2 3 0 0 8 10 -
C. Hines 20 0-3 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
C. Davis 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Hillman 15 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 3 2 -
B. Eblen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter