Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drew II | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Davis | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| W. Graves | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Thompson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Wear | 16 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Strickland | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Henson | 14 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Wear | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| L. McDonald | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hudson | 37 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| M. Delaney | 32 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| J. Allen | 29 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Bell | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| V. Davila | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| E. Green | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Thompson | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Raines | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Witcher | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Atkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter