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2010-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% -
Margin 63.2% 36.8% -3.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 78.8% 21.2% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% -
Log Adjusted 93.4% 6.6% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -5 (54-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Chism 32 9-15 1-4 1-2 7 0 0 2 1 20 13 -
J.P. Prince 28 3-6 0-1 2-3 6 4 0 0 2 8 10 -
R. Woolridge 26 1-6 0-4 1-4 5 0 1 2 1 3 4 -
S. Hopson 23 2-10 1-3 3-3 4 0 1 1 2 8 2 -
M. Goins 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 5 11 -
B. Maze 19 1-5 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
S. McBee 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Tatum 12 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
K. Hall 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
S. Pearl 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 39 4-12 0-2 5-7 17 1 1 2 2 13 20 -
B. Spencer 37 8-19 4-9 5-5 2 3 1 0 3 25 9 -
S. Warren 25 2-8 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 5 3 -
D. Populist 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
C. Beattie 19 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Dotson 16 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 6 6 -
G. Green 12 0-2 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Z. Kinsley 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
E. Ludwig 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Harris 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Bass 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter